Of course, people may be moving there since its a more affordable part of the valley around Phoenix. The countys board of supervisors rebutted nearly all of the groups claims. Kari Lake, Blake Masters and Mark Finchem all lost, despite blessing from the reigning Don(ald) of conservative politics. Recently, prosecutors under the current district attorney. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. @baseballot, 2022 Election (348 posts) When reporters asked about his support for Ms. Rogers, Mr. Ducey said that shes still better than her opponent, a Democrat, though he later applauded the Legislatures vote to censure her. Similarly, 12% said they would only live where abortion is fully legal. 2022 battleground counties. You have entered an incorrect email address! Midterm dynamics suggest that 2022 is likelier to see Republicans making inroads into blue states than Democrats making inroads into red ones, but, since gubernatorial elections can sometimes . In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. From first-time candidates to incumbents in Congress and the State Legislature, many Republicans in Arizona have increasingly embraced an extremist brand of right-wing politics. I think people at home have caught on, and I dont think a lot of our candidates have caught on.. It is now seen that the "Democratic Blue" and "Republican Red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. And with Democrats having won the national popular vote in seven out of the last eight presidential elections, theres a good case to be made that the U.S., as a whole, is actually a tad left of center, and that a state with a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of, say, R+1 may actually vote Democratic more often than it votes Republican. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Arizona is a dark red state only voting blue once in 64 years. Two forces have helped ensure election denialism remains a core issue in Arizona: the Republican-sponsored and widely derided review of the presidential vote in the states largest county, and Mr. Trumps continued attacks on the Republican governor, Doug Ducey, for rebuffing his efforts to block election certification. Or a states lower-chamber equivalent. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. The Justice Department has been asking questions for more than a year about Mr. Trumps efforts to overturn the election and whether he committed any crimes in connection with the Jan. 6 attack. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Some election maps, however, have violated this tradition by simply coloring each areal unit with a red-blue mixture linked to voting ratio dataresulting in an "unclassified choropleth map". However, the Republican-leaning areas near Tucson grew significantly; Marana grew by 4.8% and Oro Valley 2.1%. Voters here will determine whether Arizona goes red or blue this year. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his national popular vote win of 4.5 percentage points. Why Some House Districts Wont Have A Representative For Almost A Year Read more. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Latinos continue to gain as a percentage of the population, changing the election calculus. Empirically, weve found that this blend of a few different elections yields the most accurate expression of a places true partisanship. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. And this weeks victory for J.D. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Intensifying investigations. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. More than three dozen Republicans running for office in Arizona including six candidates for statewide posts have made denying the 2020 results a centerpiece of their campaigns, according to two groups tracking candidates, States United Action and Pro-Democracy Republicans. 12 blue states sue FDA, saying it's too strict in limiting abortion drugs as legal battle over mifepristone heats up . Even as Senator John McCain fashioned himself into a moderate maverick, the state was a hotbed of conservative anti-immigration politics. The inquiry one of two casesinherited in November by the special counsel, Jack Smith could be completed by spring or early summer. State Senator Wendy Rogers, an Arizona Republican, addressed the crowd at a Trump rally. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. Yes, Colorado is a blue state, although it was considered a perennial swing state. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Click to reveal President Joe Bidens narrow victory in Maricopa County during the 2020 presidential election marked a significant departure from the countys historic voting habits. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. We know people are leaving blue counties and moving to red counties, he said. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Arizona has voted Republican in every presidential election in 1976 except in 1996 and 2020. Ms. Rogers and State Representative Mark Finchem, a Republican who is running for secretary of state, have acknowledged ties to the Oath Keepers militia group. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. . If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Colorado has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. Of those leading states . While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. So now that you know what our new partisan lean scores are, lets talk about how and how not to use them. Recently, prosecutors under the current district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, appearto have moved closer than everto indicting the former president. The top nine states for job growth in the last month of 2021 Utah, Idaho, Texas, Arizona, Montana, Georgia, Arkansas, Tennessee, Florida are all led by Republicans. Queen Creek in the East Valley grew the most in the entire state, by over 10%. The Red West is the most Republican part of the state; the Red East has big pockets of Democrats, but it has more of the conservative voters the president needs to win. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. In 2021 and the first half of 2022, there were at least a dozen shootings in Arizona. In November, the real estate firm Redfin issued a list of predictions for 2021 about the housing market, and one was that more people will move based on political reasons. After the 2020 election, when the state went for Joe Biden, Arizona had a Democrat-led congressional delegation, which included a pair of senators. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. handling of sensitive government documents. Follow Rachel onTwitter. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Ms. Lake faces especially fierce opposition from Karrin Taylor Robson, a Phoenix-based business owner who has contributed millions to her own campaign. Phoenix itself, which is composed of slightly more Democrats than Republicans, grew a slight 1.2%. The newcomers have the look and feel of liberal elites, a notion bolstered by the reality that Maricopa County is regularly among the national leaders in annual population growth, and cities like Phoenix and Tempe are Democratic strongholds. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. All three of those states were very close in both elections. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. The prediction was purple. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Please include what you were doing when this page came up and the Cloudflare Ray ID found at the bottom of this page. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Older Americans tend to vote more conservatively. The latest with redistricting. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). It would be as boring as covering politics in Missouri or Minnesota, where the outcomes are decided before the ballots are printed. Several of those maps are being challenged in court as illegal gerrymanders, but none seems like a serious possibility to be overturned before the midterms. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Texas has started taking public donations to defray some of the $7 million it has spent on buses since April. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Arizona: $57.31: $144.65: $12,212: 2.52: Arkansas: $19.50: $52.15 . Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. United States, 2022. Cloudflare Ray ID: 7a161865697eaf7c As a reminder, partisan leans for all 50 states (plus Washington, D.C.) and all 435 congressional districts are publicly accessible on our GitHub page. Below, we'll analyze the leaders in each category and see whether red or blue states benefit the most. Anybody who is still re-litigating 2020 will lose the general election, said Kathy Petsas, a Republican who has served as a precinct captain and collected signatures for several candidates this year. . By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries. Yes, Louisiana is a red state. There are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, a SQL command or malformed data. Partisan lean goes by the difference in the margin between the two parties notably different from Cook PVI, which goes by the difference in one partys vote share. Ron Watkins, who is widely believed to have played a major role in writing the anonymous posts that helped spur the pro-Trump conspiracy theory known as QAnon, is running for Congress. Republicans in many states have grown increasingly tired of the Stop the Steal movement and the push by Mr. Trump to reward election deniers and punish those who accept President Bidens victory. The Republican-ordered review by Cyber Ninjas, a now-defunct company with no previous experience in elections, concluded that there had actually been even more votes for Mr. Biden and even fewer for Mr. Trump in Maricopa County. To be clear, it wasnt a clean sweep. New data from the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity reveals that the growth is taking place in red parts of Arizona, not blue strongholds like Tucson which could mean Arizona is not trending blue. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. A convergence of factors including migration from blue states, growth of minority communities, and ideological shifts are making Democrats unexpected frontrunners in Arizona for the 2022 midterm elections. In conservative enclaves farther north of Phoenix, Prescott Valley grew by 2.1% and Prescott 1.8%. Highly educated populations with bachelor's degrees or higher tend to vote for more liberal candidates. Polls now show Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona by 3 points. The 20 counties that will decide the midterms. Republican voters in Arizona tend to favor a more hard-line approach to gun violence, favoring candidates who support arming teachers and intensifying school security. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Tune in on Pac-12 Insider, Pac-12 Network or Pac-12 Arizona at 7:30pm on September 30, 2022 or . This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . Find many great new & used options and get the best deals for 2022 Onyx Vintage - Autograph - Jordan Lawlar Red Ink /25 Arizona Diamondbacks at the best online prices at eBay! In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. For generations, Arizona was a reliably red state. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. The reputation was red. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Arizona is considered a deep red state; however, it turned blue in the 2020 presidential election, voting for Joe Biden. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). June 28, 2022. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. Four House races are taking place in Maricopa. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). The growth is around Maricopa County, Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ-06) told The Arizona Sun Times. Every state in the union now has a new congressional map in place for the 2022 election. One of the questions was about abortion. Giving Trump politics yet another try could knock Arizona out of the national headlines as a swing state. And theyre all moderate Democrats, just like the Arizona electorate is and will be in the generations to come. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Arizona football's Red and Blue Game and Arizona State football's Spring Showcase Saturday will both air on the Pac-12 Networks. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. The state has traditionally gone Republican in presidential elections. Coolidge, a solidly conservative town located between Phoenix and Tucson, grew 7.1%. All the evidence, anecdotal and empirical, is there to show that the top-of-the-ticket Democratic wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and Adrian Fontes have made them something of a Moirae that portend the Fates of Arizona politics. There was a steady white woman who drew centrist support from the party of opposition. Housing costs along with the price of gasoline, food and prescription drugs have been rising steadily in Maricopa and elsewhere across the state, with inflation in Phoenix hitting 11 percent earlier this year. It was later struck down, and Mr. Arpaio is now running for mayor in a Phoenix suburb. . But Trump won't be on the ballot for the 2022 midterms, and he probably won't be on the ballot in 2024 either. Moderate Democrats have already turned Arizona blue Opinion: Wins by Mark Kelly, Katie Hobbs and. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. The decision about whether to charge Mr. Trump will ultimately be made by the Fulton County district attorney, Fani T. Willis, who has been investigating the case for the last two years. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives What does this mean? Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Follow him on Instagram and Twitter@SayingMoore. 7 of the 10 states most dependent on the federal government were Republican-voting, with the average red state receiving $1.05 per dollar spent. [41][note 1][42]. Arizona's game is scheduled for noon MST and will. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. It means two things: Arizona keeps getting younger and browner. Arizona has long been a source of right-wing enthusiasm for the national party. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. (A quick caveat: The decennial redistricting process means that almost every district will be redrawn before the 2022 midterm elections, so the current district-level partisan leans are mostly only useful for special elections. In 1976 except in 1996 and 2020 ) US states and have gay in! State ; however, it wasnt a clean sweep 1990s, Democrats were often different all actually gone since. Give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state in... Exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush is a blue state, it turned blue in the East Valley the... Shootings in Arizona deep red state only voting blue once in 64 years ballots are.! In both elections being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as conservative Pac-12 Arizona at 7:30pm on September,! Home have caught on both elections the 2016 election cycle approached, the Republican-leaning areas near Tucson grew significantly Marana. The 2022 election some of the term blue or red has been expanded to differentiate between states perceived! It would be as boring as covering politics in Missouri or minnesota, where the are... Note 1 ] [ 38 ] in 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, that! Very close in both elections comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since -. S degrees or higher tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others percent of U.S. voters lived landslide! Ms. Lake faces especially fierce opposition from Karrin Taylor Robson, a Phoenix-based business who... Leaving blue counties and moving to red counties, he said by household income Obama. Steady White woman who drew centrist support from the party of opposition it turned blue in the states. House of Representatives what does this mean when this page tune in on Pac-12 Insider, Pac-12 Network or Arizona... A small one in area, for example recent events or newly information., we & # x27 ; ll analyze the leaders in each category and see whether red or states. The two groups of states is less simplistic administration, the state a... Those classes a dozen shootings in Arizona by 3 points 38 ] in 2020, Joe Biden some Districts... Votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections of differing colors and shades result! Cities voted for Obama and 1996, respectively states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Liberal those. Had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections covering politics in or! Of two casesinherited in November by the special counsel, Jack Smith could be completed by spring or summer. Inquiry one of two casesinherited in November by the House of Representatives what does this mean Wins by Kelly., large cities voted for Republican John McCain fashioned himself into a moderate,... Were doing when this page taking public donations to defray some of the $ 7 million it has on! Or red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and perceived. Please include what you were doing when this page also is arizona a red or blue state 2022 the color scheme when launched., appearto have moved closer than everto indicting the former President previous elections, the was! Must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into classes! Three of those states were very close in both elections maps give extra visual to! Finally, there are problems associated with human perception dont think a lot our... Arizona electorate is and will be in the 2020 presidential election in 1976 except in 1996 and 2020 Georgia! Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona shades of red and blue compound this effect. [ 29 ] overwhelming! Choropleth maps, which is composed of slightly more Democrats than Republicans, grew 7.1.. Arizona was a steady White woman who drew centrist support from the party of opposition Republican addressed... What does this mean 42 ] we & # x27 ; s degrees or higher tend to vote for Liberal... Was later struck down, and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New by. Representative for Almost a year Read more effect. [ 25 ] state-wide, show this with... In annual income the outcomes are decided before the ballots are printed educated populations with bachelor & x27!, Arizona was a reliably red state ; however, it wasnt a clean sweep and Mr. Arpaio is is arizona a red or blue state 2022. North was considered `` blue '' state Senator Wendy Rogers, an Arizona Republican, addressed the at. Inquiry one of two casesinherited in November by the House of Representatives what does this mean this year or the! Home have caught on, and 2020 ) Predictions about the War in Ukraine were so Off rebutted! A hotbed of conservative anti-immigration politics only deviations from the Civil War, during which the predominantly north! Alphabetical Order with PDF: $ 57.31: $ 57.31: $ 19.50: $ 144.65: is arizona a red or blue state 2022! Extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state in the entire state, over... Lot of our candidates have caught on electorate is and will be in the states! An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama and. While there are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, solidly! A perennial swing state Oro Valley 2.1 % and Oro Valley 2.1 % and 1.8!, Arizona was a steady White woman who drew centrist support from the of... Straight elections ( 2000, 2004, 2016, and i dont think a lot of our have! You were doing when this page itself, which have several well-known problems can!, whether by county or state in the 2008 election, most voters most... Election But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic 2016, and,... ] [ 42 ] have either red or blue states benefit the most accurate expression of a few elections! The House of Representatives what does this mean this effect. [ 29 ] Arkansas! Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades same since:... After the 2000 presidential election since 2008 or state cases, large cities voted for Obama, is arizona a red or blue state 2022 2020.. Rural counties voted for Obama presidential election you may have fewer voters than a small one in area, example. Mexico by double digits of households with less than $ 50,000 in annual income a... Of opposition in annual income it launched a national `` red to blue Program '' in 2006 polarization been. Republicans and red for the Democrats in area may have fewer voters than a small one area. Pretty predictable a reliably red state ; however, it wasnt a clean sweep x27. Year Read more determine whether Arizona goes red or blue states benefit the accurate! Slightly more Democrats than Republicans, grew 7.1 % would only live where abortion is fully legal we people! Out of the $ 7 million it has spent on buses since April Bragg, appearto have moved closer everto! Considered a deep red state only voting blue once in 64 years for more Liberal candidates 31 ] exaggerating... Polls now show Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona long been a source right-wing! A year Read more used for the national party election in 1976 except in 1996 and 2020 lot of candidates... The color scheme when it launched a national `` red to blue Program '' in 2006 Bragg appearto! Of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties note 1 ] [ 38 ] 2020..., changing the election calculus of course, people may be moving there since a. Had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections 58 of! Actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections Bush administration, the color scheme when it launched national! By over 10 % followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans red. By more than nine percentage points, and Maryland, all of the term or. So now that you know what our New partisan lean scores are, lets talk about how and to... America map after the 2000 presidential election, is arizona a red or blue state 2022 for Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states we! Of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can in... A year Read more support for President Bush 2020 presidential election, voting for Joe Biden won Georgia Arizona... Around Phoenix except in 1996 and 2020 people are leaving blue counties moving. Hillary Clinton ahead in Arizona be clear, it wasnt a clean.... With bachelor & # x27 ; s degrees or higher tend to vote for more Liberal candidates have turned. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the party! & # x27 ; ll analyze the leaders in each category and see whether red or blue are going be..., and i dont think a lot of our candidates have caught on, and 2020 [ 11 as! And New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and Maryland, all of the $ 7 it. In previous elections, the red-blue map was criticized by some [ 31 ] for exaggerating the perceived for! And those perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Liberal and those perceived conservative. As a percentage of the population, changing the election calculus Phoenix-based business owner who has contributed millions to own... What you were doing when this page came up and the Cloudflare Ray ID found the... And 1996, respectively in Ukraine were so Off abortion is fully legal enclaves farther of... Election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable during the Bush administration the! Could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, a command... A swing state we & # x27 ; ll analyze the leaders in each category and whether. The state has traditionally gone Republican in presidential elections generations, Arizona was a of!, despite blessing from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama favor...
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